With McNamara’s absence from the Week 10 depth chart and Sullivan now named Iowa’s starting quarterback, the odds have shifted in Iowa’s favor for their upcoming matchup against Wisconsin. Sullivan’s dual-threat abilities offer Iowa a dynamic offensive option that may challenge the Badgers’ traditionally strong defense.
As betting lines move, Iowa has become the favored team, opening as 3.5-point favorites for Saturday’s showdown.
Iowa’s Offensive Shift Under Sullivan Enhances Betting Outlook
Sullivan, who previously played at Northwestern, provided a significant contrast to McNamara’s pocket-passing style by demonstrating a versatile skill set that could be key against Wisconsin.
Unlike McNamara, who has been primarily limited to passing, Sullivan showcased his athleticism by rushing eight times for 41 yards and scoring a touchdown on the ground. Ferentz acknowledged the difference, stating,
“That’s a clear contrast. I think that’s one of Brendan’s strengths. He’s a really good athlete, really good at that.”
Sullivan’s ability to diversify Iowa’s offensive attack opens up new options for an offense that previously relied heavily on star running back Kaleb Johnson. Against Wisconsin, the balanced threat of both Sullivan’s arm and legs paired with Johnson’s powerful rushing game could press the Badgers into defensive adjustments.
The quarterback shift has had a tangible effect on betting insights, as Iowa’s odds moved to -3.5, with the moneyline at -180 compared to Wisconsin’s +150. Iowa’s consistent offensive improvement over recent games has made the Hawkeyes attractive favorites.
With Sullivan leading the charge, Iowa bettors may find confidence in his adaptability and ability to “command the game,” as Ferentz noted, especially with his recent experience against Wisconsin’s defense in last year’s matchup while he was with Northwestern.
Sullivan’s Influence and Iowa’s Favorable Win Probabilities
The Hawkeyes’ odds reflect Iowa’s improved scoring consistency, particularly as they’ve scored 40 points in two of their last three games. Sullivan’s emergence adds dimension to the offense, while Iowa’s defense has proven its strength by holding opponents in check.
With Wisconsin’s season-long struggles and uncertainty at quarterback following an injury to Tyler Van Dyke, who was replaced by Braedyn Locke, the Badgers face challenges on both sides of the ball.
Wisconsin’s passing attack under Locke has been limited, with a completion rate under 60% and a tendency to struggle against pressure, which is reflected in Iowa’s favorable 54.3% win probability for the game.
Ferentz’s decision to list Sullivan as QB1 marks a new chapter for Iowa’s season, potentially securing a late-season win streak. Iowa bettors also have confidence in Sullivan’s familiarity with Wisconsin, as he has faced the Badgers before, notably completing 11 of 17 passes for 114 yards and adding 33 yards on the ground.
His experience, combined with recent success, underscores Iowa’s rising potential as they enter the final stretch of the season. With the over hitting in seven of Iowa’s last eight games, bettors might be tempted to consider a similar play this week.
For the Hawkeyes, the addition of Sullivan may well be the edge they need to cover the spread and continue their winning streak. As Ferentz stated, “We’ll do what’s best for the team,” and Sullivan’s strong performance has already shown it could be just what Iowa needs to secure another Heartland Trophy.
For more Iowa sports betting tips, check us out at IA Betting.
